China Renewable Energy Percentage

China Renewable Energy Percentage

China Renewable Energy Percentage – Editor’s note: Hover over the sea of ​​green words  for a pop-up dictionary. Also included at the end is a complete bibliography with terms listed in the order in which they appear.

China has rapidly developed its renewable energy industry in a few decades. According to the latest available data, in 2020 China was responsible for 54% of wind farm installations and 70% of solar module production.

China Renewable Energy Percentage

The rapid expansion of solar and wind energy in China over the past decade can be attributed to its subsidy policy. Because solar and wind energy are getting closer

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The political situation in China is changing in the right direction, moving away from generous subsidies and using renewable energy.

In this section, we will provide the key context for China’s cleantech industry policy change with a focus on solar and wind subsidies. A comprehensive introduction to the solar and wind industry is available at these links.

China has historically supported the growth of innovation through a combination of targets set out in five-year plans, government-sponsored research in the form of housing programs – such as

– tax subsidies, incentive tariff schemes (FIT) and grants from the Renewable Electricity Development Fund (REDF). In particular, the introduction of the national FIT scheme in 2011 helped increase capacity in 2010. From 2010 to 2020, China’s renewable energy capacity quadrupled from 233.26 GW to 894.88 GW.

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By comparison, while China added about 661 GW of renewable energy between 2010 and 2020, the rest of the world as a whole added only 1,062 GW.

Between 2012 and 2021, the combined share of solar and wind energy in China’s energy production increased from 2.6% to 11.8%.

Feed-in tariffs are a policy mechanism used to encourage the adoption of renewable energy sources by reducing risks for energy producers. With FIT, producers of energy from renewable sources are often entered into long-term contracts of up to 20 years, which provide compensation above the market price for parts of the electricity produced and delivered to the grid. The main effect of the FIT is the adjustment between renewable and old sources, which accelerates the transition to renewable sources. Using China as an example, at the start of the country’s FIT system in 2011, solar generators received a rate of about RMB 1 per kilowatt hour for projects approved by the National Reform and Development Council (NDRC).

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The FIT system has benefited the private sector but created increasing costs for the public sector. More than ten years since the inception of the FIT system, the landscape has changed dramatically. Solar and wind power have grown faster than expected in China, and policymakers have been unwilling to increase electricity supply, leaving the REDF roughly $50 billion in the red by the end of 2020.

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To put the gap into perspective, it is estimated that China could take until 2041 to pay off its deficit.

While the increase in renewable capacity is good for the environment, for private companies that have established long-term projects based on the assumption of 20-year FIT payments, the debts are a real burden. In many cases, these companies have already started projects and incurred costs, but are still waiting for subsidies to be paid out.

According to one estimate, paying off the deficit could take until 2041.10 It is true that there is a possibility that the government will decide to prioritize the deficit and pay it off early. sunny. and airlines.

At the same time, the prohibitive costs of solar and wind power have now fallen sharply and are approaching the desired line of grid parity. The price of renewables is estimated to fall below the price of coal-fired power around 2026, eliminating the immediate need for a FIT system.

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Subsidies enabled a rapid expansion of capacity, but integration problems had to be solved. To this end, the government has begun to focus on ensuring the use of renewable energy.

A curtailment refers to the level of electricity production that is deliberately reduced due to shortages or transmission problems. If the reduction limits are high for wind and solar energy, this means that part of the energy accumulated in 2010 remains unused. The decline of solar and wind power was a major problem in the mid-2010s as energy continued to expand. In recent years, increasing demand for solar and wind energy and a change in policy focus have contributed to a reduction in downside risk.

Recent government policies include the introduction of the Green Electricity Certificate (GEC) system in 2017 and the Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) system in 2019. Under the RPS system, provinces must ensure that a percentage of their electricity consumption comes from renewable energy sources. resources. With the GEC system in place, market entities (not individuals) who are allocated renewable energy consumption quotas by the local government can compensate by purchasing “green certificates” from companies that exceed their number.

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The next step, currently underway, involves the end of subsidies for renewable energy, with the bulk of the period and reductions taking place as early as 2021 or coming in 2022. The FIT for offshore wind projects ends at the end of 2021, while are central subsidies for new solar farms and offshore wind projects were put on hold in August 2021. Simply put, 2022 will be a year of change.

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Cutting China’s subsidies should have mixed effects in the short term, but in the long term it seems a more viable option than continuing to pay subsidies and allowing the deficit to grow regardless of the cost. In the short term, dysfunctional companies that have been heavily dependent on subsidies may face drastic changes that will move the industry in a market-oriented direction. Of course, companies were not surprised and had time to incorporate this change into their plans.

For companies that are still waiting for deferred subsidy payments, the central government should step in and gradually repay the REDF loan subsidy, which could ultimately provide relief to these companies for a long time.

There is no doubt that China is the most important player in the solar energy supply sector. To make a solar component, silicon must be collected and made into a cylindrical ingot, which is then cut into thin discs called wafers. The boards are machined and the metal conductors embedded in them form the cells that are finally assembled into the board.

Chinese production accounts for approximately 72% of polysilicon, 98% of ingots, 97% of wafers, and 81% of global photovoltaic (PV) solar cells.

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However, in 2021 and 2022, China is dealing with solar supply chain issues that are driving up prices. Between August and September 2021, power shortages disrupted domestic supply and contributed to a 300% increase in solar polysilicon prices.

As of March 23, 2022, these prices are now around $33 per kg, compared to around $15 per kg in March 2021.

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However, from a demand perspective, wind generation is balanced by the fact that 2022 is still expected to be a record year for solar equipment in China. China could install 75 to 90 GW of solar power as rooftop solar is installed in central and eastern China, while large-scale solar panels are being built in the Gobi desert near China’s border with Mongolia.

More importantly, the long-term downward trend in solar energy costs is likely to continue despite short-term fluctuations.

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Between 2010 and 2020, the global price of energy produced by onshore wind and offshore wind fell by 39% and 29%, respectively.

Wind power is now China’s third largest energy source and will account for about 7.8% of total generation by 2021.

China’s lead in wind turbine production is not as strong as its lead in solar production, but it is still an important part of the global wind supply chain.

Wind energy records were significantly broken in 2021. This was particularly true for offshore wind, where China’s capacity of 9.49 GW in 2020 was increased by 16.9 GW in 2021.

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The surge in applications is no coincidence as companies rushed to complete projects before the end of the year, after which the FIT for new offshore wind projects ended.

In 2021, China’s pre-FIT onshore wind installation frenzy has made global installations and all previous years look small in comparison.

Feed-in tariffs have helped China build renewable energy at an incredible rate. The fact that solar and wind power are moving closer to competing with traditional sources such as coal is an exciting development for these industries, but it may also require a change in approach from policymakers. In some ways, 2022 could mark this turning point for China as it begins to enter the final period of renewable energy subsidies. Despite the problems that exist with solar and wind, we expect these to be two sources of energy

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